For the business
The few large calls a year, where one mistake is expensive.
- Capital investments
- Market and site expansion
- Pricing changes
- Partner and supplier selection
NewBusiness Decisions
Calibrated probabilities
Each probability is checked against what actually happened to your past decisions, so 0.7 means seven in ten, on your record.
Cited precedents
Every figure names the past decisions it rests on and how many there were. Nothing is asserted without its sources.
Abstains when history is thin
Where too few precedents exist to state odds honestly, it says so and routes the decision to a person instead of guessing.
For the business
The few large calls a year, where one mistake is expensive.
Inside the business
The many routine calls a day, where consistency is the gain.
How it works
Past decisions and what came of them, drawn from your ERP, CRM, finance and the documents around them. Cleaned, linked, and kept inside your perimeter.
For a new question, the situations most like it are found in your history, and their outcomes become the evidence, weighted by how alike they are.
The options, each with a probability of return, the range around it, and the precedents behind it. Or, where the evidence is thin, a handover to a person.
What comes back
One brief per question. Every option carries a probability, the range around it, and the number of past decisions behind it. Where there are too few, it says so and hands over.
Decision brief
Illustrative · not client data| Option | Probability | Precedents | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| AOpen in Q1n = 23 | 0.680.61–0.74 | 23 | Recommend |
| BOpen in Q3n = 9 | 0.410.30–0.52 | 9 | Consider |
| CLease partner capacityn = 2 | Insufficient precedent | 2 | To a person |
Guardrails
Enough comparable decisions with known outcomes. Where a type of decision has too few, the brief says so and abstains rather than inventing odds. The pilot starts by measuring exactly this for your data.
Usually your ERP, CRM and finance systems, plus the documents where decisions were argued and approved. Ingestion and cleaning are part of the setup, as with the Knowledge Base.
No. It returns options, odds and evidence. A person decides, and the record of who decided what becomes part of the history the next brief learns from.
Nowhere it is kept. Models run under enterprise zero-retention terms or in isolation, hosted in the EU, and your history stays in your own infrastructure.
A pilot covers one decision type end to end: ingesting its history, calibrating against past outcomes, and running live briefs alongside your team.
A pilot takes one type of decision you make again and again, reads its history, and runs live briefs alongside your team.
Decision support, not financial advice. Probabilities are estimates from your own historical outcomes; the decision stays with your people.